Last Night on TV

So, last night I’m watching the La Lakers take the first game of the Western Conference Finals (online of course) and I get to watch all the commercials on ESPN. Some of you might think that’s a bit odd, but I don’t have access to commercial television; no cable or satellite dish, just my internet connection.

All through the game I saw a lot of different advertising and this one I couldn’t believe. First of all Toyota is advertising their prius and it’s Green Appeal, and then I see this Cadillac Escalade commercial and it hits me that this whole GM bailout is going to fail, sure as shit. How is this any different?

Toyota and Honda are both selling cars that people need in order to meet with the changes coming, frankly gasoline cannot last for ever and these things can get 50 mpg. What does an Escalade get for mileage. I don’t even care. Like I said I don’t even own cable..

It amazes me we even bothered bailing anything out at all, the banks the insurers and the automakers can fold and I don’t think I would miss them at all. It seems to me that they got themselves into this mess, right!?

But, promising the American Government that it would change directions and then going on like “business as usual”, minus the layoffs, factory closures, and dealer closings. Don’t worry we’ll help you stretch out that failure, while we let our factory workers and and sales people find something else to do.

Personally I believe that all that bailout money would have been far more wisely spent on education, because the people running these companies obviously missed out on economics 101…

Is that Tamiflu in your pocket…?

OMG!! We’re all gonna DIE! Again… It really amazes me how ridicules the Nation’s Media is. Look, I like Drama just as much as the next guy, but Pandemic? The Spanish Influenza kill 50 million people in 30 days. Loosing 200 in a week is not on the same scale. First of all only about 50-75 people in the US have contracted this thing, and according to “The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) (they) estimate that approximately 1.1 million persons are living with HIV in the United States.”(1)

The funny part about living with the US’ Media is that they are all on the same script. I wonder if viewers could start a group law suit for starting a panic over total misinformation. When Howard Dean was tore apart by the Media after misinterpreting what I would consider to be a pep rally to raise the morale of the thousands of volunteers that were there to support his Campaign. For weeks we had to see this one stupid picture that fraudulently depicted his actions, while the “commentator news core” ripped on him and told us all about his poor behavior, unbecoming of a president.

Now, everyone may not agree with me, but I think he was the only president running at the time who had any real plan, including a balanced budget, health care for America, and alternative energy. We could have really used him in 2004, but that’s not what happened. Instead we got a Republican agenda which was running rampant against all the things most American’s believe in, like Torture and Financial System Bailouts, and 4 dollar a gallon gasoline.

Personally I feel that any format that presents itself as a news program must leave commentary to the commentary segments and should be held accountable for the facts they present as news to America. I wish Howard Dean would have sued AP News and any parrot news agency who repeated the lie. It’s bullshit and we all know the Media is a PR scandel in American life. If you don’t believe me check out your sources and the fact surrounding them and see what’s what. Don’t take my word for it, do a little research on your information.

1). Taken from the CDC website.

Congress Averting another Catastophe: But this time a Revolution

Man, talk about a close call. The public uproar on the whole AIG bonus Scandal was quite a fervent scene to observe. Congress was so worried about it that they basically lynched anyone who was supposed to get any kind of bonus, that had anything to do with any financial agency that took Fed or Treasury funds.

The problem is that it reminds me of the day the Treasury announced the take-over of Freddie and Fannie. I really think it was the first wave of panic that started the horrible conditions we see today. The second shock was letting Lehman Bros. fail… but the biggest shock so far was when Congress’ Lame duck Republican leaning vote against the original TARP Funds. That was the shot heard round the World.

Within a few hours of the outcome, the LIBOR jumped more than 200 basis points and essentially shut down all loaning. This was the real Credit Crisis. Everything previously experienced was just a warm up. After that everything became a shock to everyone…

So, here we are. 2 years after the fall of the Real Estate Bubble and things were starting to look as though there might be a shift in the momentum, of what many are hoping would be the bottom of this deflationary period, and Congress sounds the Alarm!

I wonder how many people will show up for work tomorrow. At least the ones that are being held responcible for cleaning up the mess at AIG might not be interested in working for free… The one thing that’s certain is that we will find out whether or not Liddy was telling the truth, in his testimony to Congress. He said that without the people who are receiving the bonuses, it would leave about $1.6 Trillion of risk unmanaged, and that that would lead to the collapse of AIG. And… according to Ben Bernanke, a collapse of AIG would lead to a World Financial Systemic Collapse.

hmm… It should be an interesting week ahead.

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The Greenspan Rule: Words are Power!

Recently I heard some blame being cast at Greenspan for the failed policies of the Federal Reserve and I think it’s ridicules unless you add it to the constant stream of mistakes being made in the Quest to “save” the economy from “catastrophe”…

I do agree that deregulation was founded on a weak cornerstone, that Banks could govern there own sense of risk, and assess it based on the longevity of their business. It’s kind of like trusting that Hedge Funds won’t drive up the price of oil, in an attempt to avoid a devaluing dollar. Because everyone knows that an inflated fuel supply could apply the brakes to an economic system in the form of inflation.

Or maybe it’s more like Short Selling. I’m sorry but that whole practice just doesn’t make any sense to me. Let me get this straight, you’re borrowing someone elses stock and selling it to buy it back for less when the price falls. Doesn’t that seem a bit adverse to a growing economy, having big financial institutions and hedge funds betting against their own pool of wealth… And whose stocks are they “borrowing”.

Anyway, I believe there’s only one answer for all the toxic assets. require the banks give them up in exchange for loans. The assets will then fall into the hands of a trust that will match them with homes that are in foreclosure, reducing the paper to their original mortgages and thereby giving them a quantitative value again. The homes would then be held until the housing markets are restored and then released slowly back into the market. An assessed value would be paid toward the debt the banks held, and profits would be used to shore up any future foreclosures. The problem is the paper.

This is the core of the problem and it could have been met with when it was occuring if it hadn’t been about the non-chalant responce by Ben Bernanke when he first acknowledged the situation in 2007. The real problem has still been left for these 2 years without fully being addressed, and 3 years since the foreclosures began.

Obama has failed to address this current crisi with the right formula to really resolve the main issue. Part of it has been addressed, but with nothing like the rigor they have addressed the condition of the fallout, that was supposedly never to happen. Spending another $2.5 Trillion to shore up the financial institutions seems like bullshit after the 700bln on top of the 2 Trillion pumped into it from the Fed., and why are those two agencies acting independently.

So, all together we are looking at about $5 Trillion, while companies and individuals are continuing to slip into foreclosure unable to borrow, and the main core problem is still on the chalkboard. The one thing that no one seems to be considering is the momentum that is being acquired and fueled by lame statements that include words like “catastrophe” and “collapse”, when economic leaders are speaking. You would have never heard Alan Greenspan make such greenhorn mistake.

The US Financial Crisis: Confidence or the Lack of

There’s an old saying that goes, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it”. The irony of this statement, in today’s broken financial system,

Bernanke and Paulson testify before Congress

is the concept that what is broken here is the system, when in fact what is broken is confidence in that system.

According to Secretary of Treasury Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chief Ben Bernanke the banking system needs more liquidity in order to restart the banks ability to loan to each other. The belief is that they are not lending due to earlier commitments called Drawdowns, prearranged loan agreements to businesses.

The fact is that banks are not loaning to each other for two entirely different reasons. One, the possible write downs from their Subprime Mortgage Security positions, and two, the possibility that anyone of these banks could collapse at anytime. Hense the lack of confidence.

What really needs to be solved in this situation are the things that are truly broken. The biggest break I can see is the continuing collapse of homeowners. Something like 2 million Americans are at risk of loosing their homes this year, either through variable rate mortgages they were sold, or unemployment. This is the foundation of the bigger problem that has led the US to this position and crisis, and it is no longer exclusive to the US. Fannie Mae today announced 29 Billion Dollars in 3Q losses due to foreclosures or delinquencies.

Giving the banks more money to shore up the loses from their overwhelming risk taking won’t solve the problem, as Japan found out after 14 years of recession. What needs to happen is transparency. Banks need to write-OFF all these Subprime Securities and the SEC needs to force them to do it. There is no way they will volunteer to do it on their own for fear of stock holder sentiment being lost, but which is the bigger threat.

Th US Government also needs to do it’s part in a real way, instead of buying shares and Nationalizing companies, or buying up all the bad paper. This kind of give away of American Tax Payers money is reckless and ignorant. This direction is Paulson’s, who actually led the way to giant risk taking out of greed and now he wants to fill the empty coffers of the guilty. read more

The double edged sword of Bailouts sends the message that there is something gravely wrong. It may solve the immediate need for the banks, which by the way are hording this money, but creates it’s own monster. That being loss of confidence. In fact it may be motivating banks to do nothing to solve their own mistakes in order to get their cut. Greenspan may have been guilty of bad decisions, but he was never guilty of bad PR when it came to sending out news.

According to Adam Smith, the father of theoretical economics based on Free Enterprise, nothing in this economic system is really broken. Economics is similar to Natural Selection. If economic systems become outdated, something will rise out of the collapse to take it’s place. He called it supply and demand, that if were left alone it would naturally define itself. What is not in demand, in this instance, is the heavy risk taking that led to this crisis. You can see this in the Libor to Over Night Spread.

So, should we seek to stabilize it and prolong it’s lack of usefulness, by stimulating it like a heart patient who has flatlined, or let it collapse and allow Natural Selection to have it’s day. Personally I believe that America and the World for that matter have the resilient strength to arise from the challenges to be stronger, wiser and better than the past it was created out of.